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Use the controls below to CUSTOMIZE chart or CHANGE the data series

Hover mouse over dropdown controls for help. Remember, you can display a maximum of five data series at once.

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Chart Title: You can create a title for your chart. Use the text field to enter a title and click the button to the right of the text field.
Chart Size: By default, the chart is displayed at medium size. But you can use the dropdown control to change the size.
Color: By default charts are displayed with color data lines and fill. You can change this to grayscale if you want.
Report Year: By default, the chart displays actual and forecast spending from the latest trustees report. But you can change to look at the reports from previous years.

Data Range

Start Year: You can select any start year you want using the dropdown control in the table heading. At the top and bottom of the dropdown only years ending in “0” are shown. Select a start year to get close, then select the start year you want.
End Year: You can select any end year you want using the dropdown control in the table heading. At the top and bottom of the dropdown only years ending in “0” are shown. Select an end year to get close, then select the end year you want.

The chart shows the latest forecast for the cost, in percent of GDP, of the federal government’s Medicare program for seniors through 2092. It shows the cost of each of the three major parts of Medicare: the Part A Hospital Insurance program, the Part B Supplementary Medical Insurance program and the Part D Supplementary Medical Insurance drug benefit. See the Center for Medicare and Medicaid’s website for more details.

The numbers are obtained from the current 2018 Medicare Trustees Report using numbers from a spreadsheet “HI and SMI Incurred Expenditures as a Percentage of the Gross Domestic Product” available in Expanded and Suppplementary Tables.

If you’d like to create your own custom chart of spending data you should use the table above to make your selections.

  • Select the year range: Select the start year and the end year you want by selecting the years you want in the two year dropdown boxes.
  • Choose chart features: You can select the size of the chart, select color or black and white. You can also blow up the chart to fill the screen with the “full screen” tab control above the chart display.

Download Data

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Download Data File

 

Click button to download CSV file of dataset in chart.
 

Download Tab-delimited Data

Copy and Paste: To copy and paste data into spreadsheet for analysis, just copy the tab-delimited text in the textbox below (click cursor in text box, then press ctrl-A then press ctrl-C) and paste it into your spreadsheet.

View Data Series

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Below is a formatted version of the data displayed in the chart.

Medicare Trustees Report 2018
Fiscal Years 2017 to 2092
YearMedicare Part A
percent GDP
Medicare Part B
percent GDP
Medicare Part D
percent GDP
20171.54a1.63a0.48a
20181.53e1.68e0.48e
20191.55e1.73e0.48e
20201.57e1.78e0.51e
20211.6e1.85e0.53e
20221.65e1.92e0.55e
20231.69e1.99e0.57e
20241.72e2.06e0.59e
20251.76e2.14e0.6e
20261.8e2.19e0.62e
20271.83e2.26e0.64e
20281.91e2.39e0.66e
20291.95e2.46e0.68e
20301.98e2.52e0.7e
20312.01e2.58e0.71e
20322.04e2.63e0.73e
20332.07e2.68e0.74e
20342.09e2.72e0.75e
20352.12e2.76e0.76e
20362.14e2.79e0.78e
20372.16e2.82e0.79e
20382.18e2.83e0.79e
20392.19e2.84e0.8e
20402.21e2.85e0.81e
20412.22e2.85e0.81e
20422.23e2.85e0.81e
20432.23e2.84e0.82e
20442.24e2.84e0.82e
20452.24e2.84e0.83e
20462.25e2.84e0.84e
20472.25e2.83e0.84e
20482.25e2.83e0.85e
20492.25e2.82e0.85e
20502.25e2.82e0.86e
20512.24e2.82e0.87e
20522.24e2.82e0.87e
20532.23e2.81e0.88e
20542.23e2.81e0.89e
20552.23e2.82e0.9e
20562.23e2.82e0.91e
20572.23e2.82e0.92e
20582.23e2.83e0.92e
20592.22e2.83e0.93e
20602.22e2.83e0.94e
20612.22e2.83e0.95e
20622.23e2.83e0.96e
20632.23e2.84e0.96e
20642.23e2.84e0.97e
20652.24e2.84e0.98e
20662.24e2.84e0.99e
20672.25e2.85e1e
20682.25e2.85e1e
20692.26e2.85e1.01e
20702.26e2.85e1.02e
20712.27e2.85e1.03e
20722.27e2.85e1.04e
20732.28e2.86e1.05e
20742.28e2.86e1.06e
20752.29e2.86e1.06e
20762.29e2.85e1.07e
20772.29e2.85e1.08e
20782.29e2.85e1.08e
20792.29e2.84e1.09e
20802.29e2.83e1.09e
20812.29e2.83e1.1e
20822.28e2.82e1.1e
20832.28e2.81e1.11e
20842.28e2.8e1.11e
20852.27e2.79e1.12e
20862.27e2.78e1.12e
20872.26e2.78e1.13e
20882.26e2.77e1.13e
20892.25e2.77e1.14e
20902.25e2.76e1.15e
20912.25e2.76e1.16e
20922.24e2.76e1.16e

Legend:
a - actual reported
e - estimated by Trustees

Data source: Medicare Trustees Report

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Spending Data Sources

Spending data is from official government sources.

Gross Domestic Product data comes from US Bureau of Economic Analysis and measuringworth.com.

Detailed table of spending data sources here.

Federal spending data begins in 1792.

State and local spending data begins in 1820.

State and local spending data for individual states begins in 1957.

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Next Data Update

> US, State Pop FY17

> data update schedule.

Data Sources for 2017_2092:

Sources for 2017:

GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
'Guesstimated' by projecting the latest change in reported spending forward to future years

Sources for 2092:

GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
'Guesstimated' by projecting the latest change in reported spending forward to future years

> data sources for other years
> data update schedule.

Federal Deficit, Receipts, Outlays Actuals for FY18

On October 15, 2018, the US Treasury reported in its Monthly Treasury Statement (and xls) for September that the federal deficit for FY 2018 ending September 30, 2018, was $779 billion. Here are the numbers, including total receipts, total outlays, and deficit compared with the numbers projected in the FY 2019 federal budget published in February 2018:

Federal Finances
FY 2018 Outcomes
Budget
billions
Outcome
billions
Receipts $3,340$3,329
Outlays$4,130$4,108
Deficit$833$779

usgovernmentspending.com now shows the new numbers for total FY 2018 total outlays and receipts on its Estimate vs. Actual page.

The Monthly Treasury Statement includes "Table 4: Receipts of the United States Government, September 2018 and Other Periods." This table of receipts by source is used for usgovernmentspending.com to post details of federal receipt actuals for FY 2018.

This FTS report on FY 18 actuals is a problem for usgovernmentspending.com because this site uses Historical Table 3.2--Outlays by Function and Subfunction from the Budget of the United States as its basic source for federal subfunction outlays. But the Monthly Treasury Statement only includes "Table 9. Summary of Receipts by Source, and Outlays by Function of the U.S. Government, September 2018 and Other Periods". Subfunction amounts don't get reported until the FY20 budget in February 2019. Until then usgovernmentspending.com estimates actual outlays by "subfunction" for FY 2018 by factoring subfunction budgeted amounts for FY18 by the ratio between relevant actual and budgeted "function" amounts where actual outlays by subfunction cannot be gleaned from the Monthly Treasury Statement.

Final detailed FY 2018 actuals will not appear on usgovernmentspending.com until the FY 2020 federal budget is published in February 2019 with the actual outlays for FY 2018 in Historical Table 3.2--Outlays by Function and Subfunction.

Spend links

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usgovernmentspending.com was designed and executed by:

Christopher Chantrill.

Email here.


presented by Christopher Chantrill

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