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Congressional Budget Office Analysis
Long Term Outlook for Federal Budget issued in 2018
You can COPY or CUSTOMIZE the chart. To VIEW DATA or DOWNLOAD DATA click here. down to table | down to data series
Use the controls below to CUSTOMIZE chart
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| Chart Title: You can create a title for your chart. Use the text field to enter a title and click the button to the right of the text field. |
| View: There are many ways to view the spending data. The default view is functional. There is a census view that conforms with the spending categories used by the US Census Bureau in its Statistical Abstract. There is a COFOG view that categorizes spending using the UN methodology. Line/Bar: By default, the data series are displayed as line charts. But you can also select a bar chart. Data Stack: By default, the data series are “stacked” when displayed on the chart. But you can change the setting to “un stack” the data series. Chart Size: By default, the chart is displayed at medium size. But you can use the dropdown control to change the size. Color: By default charts are displayed with color data lines and fill. You can change this to grayscale if you want. US Budget Year: By default, the chart displays budgeted and estimated federal spending in the current US Budget submitted to the Congress by the president. But you can look at previous budgeted numbers using this dropdown control. |
| Social Security Health Care Other Spending Interest Expense |
Data Range Start Year: You can select any start year you want using the dropdown control in the table heading. At the top and bottom of the dropdown only years ending in “0” are shown. Select a start year to get close, then select the start year you want. End Year: You can select any end year you want using the dropdown control in the table heading. At the top and bottom of the dropdown only years ending in “0” are shown. Select an end year to get close, then select the end year you want. |
Notes
The chart is based on data from the Congressional Budget Office 2018 Long-Term Budget Outlook, available here.
If you’d like to customize your chart you can use the table above to make your selections.
- Select the year range: Select the start year and the end year you want by selecting the years you want in the two year dropdown boxes.
- Select chart type: You can control the chart type (i.e., stacked, color, size) with dropdown controls.
- Select report year: The Congressional Budget Office has compiled several long-term outlooks over the years, using roughly the same methodology. You can look at previous efforts and compare.
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Download Data File
Click button to download CSV file of dataset in chart.
Download Tab-delimited Data
Copy and Paste: To copy and paste data into spreadsheet for analysis, just copy the tab-delimited text in the textbox below (click cursor in text box, then press ctrl-A then press ctrl-C) and paste it into your spreadsheet.
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Below is a formatted version of the data displayed in the chart.
| Year | Social Security Outlays | Health Care Outlays | Other Outlays | Interest | ||||
| 2018 | 4.9 | e | 5.2 | e | 8.9 | e | 1.6 | e |
| 2019 | 4.9 | e | 5.2 | e | 9.1 | e | 1.8 | e |
| 2020 | 5 | e | 5.3 | e | 8.7 | e | 2.2 | e |
| 2021 | 5.2 | e | 5.5 | e | 8.5 | e | 2.5 | e |
| 2022 | 5.3 | e | 5.8 | e | 8.5 | e | 2.7 | e |
| 2023 | 5.4 | e | 5.9 | e | 8.3 | e | 2.8 | e |
| 2024 | 5.5 | e | 5.8 | e | 8 | e | 2.9 | e |
| 2025 | 5.6 | e | 6.1 | e | 8 | e | 2.9 | e |
| 2026 | 5.7 | e | 6.3 | e | 8 | e | 3 | e |
| 2027 | 5.8 | e | 6.4 | e | 7.8 | e | 3 | e |
| 2028 | 6 | e | 6.7 | e | 7.9 | e | 3.1 | e |
| 2029 | 6 | e | 6.7 | e | 7.7 | e | 3.1 | e |
| 2030 | 6.1 | e | 6.8 | e | 7.7 | e | 3.2 | e |
| 2031 | 6.1 | e | 7.1 | e | 7.7 | e | 3.3 | e |
| 2032 | 6.2 | e | 7.2 | e | 7.7 | e | 3.4 | e |
| 2033 | 6.2 | e | 7.3 | e | 7.7 | e | 3.6 | e |
| 2034 | 6.2 | e | 7.5 | e | 7.7 | e | 3.7 | e |
| 2035 | 6.3 | e | 7.6 | e | 7.7 | e | 3.8 | e |
| 2036 | 6.3 | e | 7.8 | e | 7.7 | e | 3.9 | e |
| 2037 | 6.3 | e | 7.9 | e | 7.7 | e | 4.1 | e |
| 2038 | 6.3 | e | 8 | e | 7.6 | e | 4.2 | e |
| 2039 | 6.3 | e | 8.2 | e | 7.6 | e | 4.4 | e |
| 2040 | 6.3 | e | 8.3 | e | 7.6 | e | 4.6 | e |
| 2041 | 6.3 | e | 8.5 | e | 7.6 | e | 4.8 | e |
| 2042 | 6.3 | e | 8.5 | e | 7.6 | e | 4.9 | e |
| 2043 | 6.3 | e | 8.7 | e | 7.6 | e | 5.1 | e |
| 2044 | 6.3 | e | 8.8 | e | 7.6 | e | 5.3 | e |
| 2045 | 6.3 | e | 8.9 | e | 7.6 | e | 5.6 | e |
| 2046 | 6.3 | e | 9 | e | 7.6 | e | 5.8 | e |
| 2047 | 6.3 | e | 9.1 | e | 7.6 | e | 6 | e |
| 2048 | 6.3 | e | 9.2 | e | 7.6 | e | 6.3 | e |
Legend: Source: CBO Long-Term Budget Outlook 2018. | ||||||||
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Data Source
Source: CBO Long-Term Budget Outlook 2018.
> data sources for other years
> data update schedule.
Federal Deficit, Receipts, Outlays Actuals for FY18
| Federal Finances FY 2018 Outcomes | ||
|---|---|---|
| Budget billions | Outcome billions | |
| Receipts | $3,340 | $3,329 |
| Outlays | $4,130 | $4,108 |
| Deficit | $833 | $779 |
usgovernmentspending.com now shows the new numbers for total FY 2018 total outlays and receipts on its Estimate vs. Actual page.
The Monthly Treasury Statement includes "Table 4: Receipts of the United States Government, September 2018 and Other Periods." This table of receipts by source is used for usgovernmentspending.com to post details of federal receipt actuals for FY 2018.
This FTS report on FY 18 actuals is a problem for usgovernmentspending.com because this site uses Historical Table 3.2--Outlays by Function and Subfunction from the Budget of the United States as its basic source for federal subfunction outlays. But the Monthly Treasury Statement only includes "Table 9. Summary of Receipts by Source, and Outlays by Function of the U.S. Government, September 2018 and Other Periods". Subfunction amounts don't get reported until the FY20 budget in February 2019. Until then usgovernmentspending.com estimates actual outlays by "subfunction" for FY 2018 by factoring subfunction budgeted amounts for FY18 by the ratio between relevant actual and budgeted "function" amounts where actual outlays by subfunction cannot be gleaned from the Monthly Treasury Statement.
Final detailed FY 2018 actuals will not appear on usgovernmentspending.com until the FY 2020 federal budget is published in February 2019 with the actual outlays for FY 2018 in Historical Table 3.2--Outlays by Function and Subfunction.
Budget News
FY 2019 Budget Release Date
White House budget release on Feb. 12 at the earliest
White House says full fiscal 2018 budget to be released on May 23
including Historical Tables, etc.
Trump FY18 Budget News
Discretionary spending on March 16.
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